Ukushayela okungenamuntu kudinga isineke esengeziwe

Muva nje, iBloomberg Businessweek ishicilele indatshana enesihloko esithi “Uphi “akunamshayeli” isihloko?“Lesi sihloko saveza ukuthi ikusasa lokushayela okungenamuntu likude kakhulu.

Izizathu ezinikeziwe cishe zimi kanje:

“Ukushayela kungenamuntu kubiza imali eningi kanti nobuchwepheshe buhamba kancane;ukushayela okuzimeleakuphephile ngempela kunokushayela komuntu;ukufunda okujulile akukwazi ukubhekana nazo zonke izimo ezikhona, njll. ”

Isizinda semibuzo ye-Bloomberg yokushayela okungenamuntu ukuthi indawo yokufikela yokushayela okungenamuntu idlule ngempela obekulindelwe abantu abaningi..Nokho, i-Bloomberg ibhale kuphela izinkinga ezithile ezikha phezulu zokushayela okungenamuntu, kodwa ayizange iqhubekele phambili, futhi yethula ngokuphelele isimo sokuthuthuka namathemba esikhathi esizayo okushayela okungenamuntu.

Lokhu kulula ukudukisa.

Ukuvumelana embonini yezimoto ukuthi ukushayela ukuzimela kuyisimo esingokwemvelo sokusetshenziswa kobuhlakani bokwenziwa.Akuyona kuphela i-Waymo, i-Baidu, i-Cruise, njll. ehilelekile kuyo, kodwa izinkampani eziningi zezimoto nazo zifake ohlwini lwezikhathi zokushayela ngokuzenzakalelayo, futhi umgomo omkhulu ukushayela ngaphandle komshayeli.

Njengomuntu osenesikhathi eside ebuka indawo yokushayela ezimele, i-XEV Institute ibona lokhu okulandelayo:

  • Kwezinye izindawo zasemadolobheni e-China, ukubhuka i-Robotaxi ngomakhalekhukhwini sekulula kakhulu.
  • Ngokuthuthuka kobuchwepheshe, inqubomgomo ibuye ithuthukiswe njalo.Amanye amadolobha avule ngokulandelana izindawo zokubonisa ukuze kudayiswe ukushayela okuzihambelayo.Phakathi kwazo, iBeijing Yizhuang, iShanghai Jiading neShenzhen Pingshan seziphenduke izinkundla zokushayela ezizimele.I-Shenzhen futhi iyidolobha lokuqala emhlabeni ukushayelela umthetho wokushayela okuzenzakalelayo kwe-L3.
  • Uhlelo lokushayela oluhlakaniphile lwe-L4’s lwehlise ubukhulu futhi lwangena emakethe yezimoto zabagibeli.
  • Ukuthuthukiswa kokushayela okungenamuntu kudale nezinguquko ku-lidar, simulation, chips ngisho nemoto ngokwayo.

Ngemuva kwezigcawu ezihlukene, nakuba kunomehluko ekuthuthukisweni kwentuthuko yokushayela uzimele phakathi kweShayina ne-United States, into efanayo iwukuthi izinhlansi zethrekhi yokushayela ngokuzenzakalelayo ziqongelela umfutho .

1. UBloomberg wabuza, “ukushayela ngokuzenzakalelayo kusekude”

Okokuqala qonda indinganiso.

Ngokwemigomo yezimboni zaseChina nezaseMelika, ukushayela ngaphandle komuntu kusezingeni eliphezulu kakhulu lokushayela okuzishintshayo elibizwa nge-L5 ngaphansi kwe-American SAE standard kanye nelevel 5 ngaphansi kwe-Chinese automatic driving level.

Ukushayela okungenamuntu kuyinkosi yesistimu, i-ODD yakhelwe ukusebenza ebangeni elingenamkhawulo, futhi imoto izimele ngokuphelele.

Bese siza esihlokweni seBloomberg.

I-Bloomberg ibhale imibuzo engaphezu kweshumi nambili esihlokweni ukuze ifakazele ukuthi ukushayela ukuzimela ngeke kusebenze.

Lezi zinkinga ikakhulukazi:

  • Kunzima ngokobuchwepheshe ukwenza ukujikela kwesokunxele okungavikelekile;
  • Ngemva kokutshala imali eyizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-100, azikho izimoto ezizishayelayo emgwaqeni;
  • Ukuvumelana embonini ukuthi izimoto ezingashayeli ngeke zilinde amashumi eminyaka;
  • Inani lemakethe lika-Waymo, inkampani ehamba phambili yokushayela ezizimele, lehlile lisuka ku-$170 billion laya ku-$30 billion namuhla;
  • Ukuthuthukiswa kwabadlali abazishayelayo bangaphambi kwesikhathi i-ZOOX ne-Uber bekungasheleli;
  • Izinga lezingozi ezibangelwa ukushayela uzimele liphezulu kunelokushayela komuntu;
  • Ayikho isethi yemibandela yokuhlola ukuze kutholwe ukuthi izimoto ezingashayeli ziphephile yini;
  • Google(i-waymo) manje inamamayela ayizigidi ezingu-20 wedatha yokushayela, kodwa ukufakazela ukuthi ibangele ukufa okumbalwa kunalokho abashayeli bamabhasi kuyodingeka bengeze elinye eliphindwe izikhathi ezingu-25 ibanga lokushayela, okusho ukuthi i-Google ayikwazi ukufakazela ukuthi ukushayela ukuzimela kuzoba okuphephile;
  • Amasu okufunda ajulile amakhompiyutha awazi ukuthi angabhekana kanjani nezinto eziningi eziguquguqukayo ezivamile emgwaqeni, njengamajuba emigwaqweni yasemadolobheni;
  • Amakesi asenqenqemeni, noma amakhona, awapheli, futhi kunzima ngekhompyutha ukuthi isingathe lezi zimo kahle.

Izinkinga ezingenhla zingahlukaniswa kalula zibe izigaba ezintathu: ubuchwepheshe abubuhle, ukuphepha akwanele, futhi kunzima ukuphila ebhizinisini .

Ngaphandle kwemboni, lezi zinkinga zingase zisho ukuthi ukushayela okuzimele kulahlekelwe ngempela ikusasa lakho, futhi mancane amathuba okuthi ufune ukugibela imoto ezimele empilweni yakho.

Isiphetho esiyinhloko se-Bloomberg siwukuthi ukushayela okuzimele kuzoba nzima ukuduma isikhathi eside.

Eqinisweni, ekuqaleni kukaNdasa wezi-2018, othile wabuza ku-Zhihu, “Ingabe i-China ingakwazi ukuduma ngezimoto ezingashayeli phakathi neminyaka eyishumi?”

Kusukela embuzweni kuze kube namuhla, minyaka yonke othile uyakhuphuka ukuze aphendule umbuzo.Ngokungeziwe kwabanye onjiniyela besoftware kanye nabathandi bokushayela abazimele, kukhona nezinkampani embonini yezimoto ezifana neMomenta neWeimar.Wonke umuntu unikele ngezimpendulo ezihlukahlukene, kodwa kuze kube manje akukabi khona mpendulo.Abantu banganikeza impendulo eqondile ngokusekelwe emaqinisweni noma ekucabangeni okunengqondo.

Into eyodwa i-Bloomberg kanye nabanye abaphendula i-Zhihu abafana ngayo ukuthi bakhathazeke kakhulu ngezinkinga zobuchwepheshe nezinye izinkinga ezingasho lutho, ngaleyo ndlela bephika inkambiso yokuthuthuka yokushayela ngokuzenzakalelayo.

Ngakho-ke, ingabe ukushayela ukuzimela kungase kusakazeke kabanzi?

2. Ukushayela kwe-China okuzimele kuphephile

Sifuna ukucacisa umbuzo wesibili ka-Bloomberg kuqala, ukuthi ukushayela uzimele kuphephile yini .

Ngoba embonini yezimoto, ukuphepha kuyisithiyo sokuqala, futhi uma ukushayela ukuzimela kuwukungena embonini yezimoto, ayikho indlela yokukhuluma ngakho ngaphandle kokuphepha.

Ngakho-ke, ingabe ukushayela ngokuzenzakalelayo kuphephile?

Lapha kudingeka sikucacise ukuthi ukushayela okuzimele, njengesicelo esijwayelekile emkhakheni wobuhlakani bokufakelwa, nakanjani kuzoholela ezingozini zomgwaqo kusukela ekukhuphukeni kwawo kuze kube sekuvuthweni.

Ngokufanayo, ukuthandwa kwamathuluzi amasha okuhamba njengezindiza kanye nomzila wesitimela wejubane eliphezulu nakho kuhambisana nezingozi , okuyinani lentengo yokuthuthukiswa kwezobuchwepheshe.

Namuhla, ukushayela okuzimele kuvuselela imoto, futhi lobu buchwepheshe obushintshashintshayo buzokhulula abashayeli abangabantu, futhi lokho kukodwa kuyajabulisa.

Ukuthuthukiswa kwesayensi nobuchwepheshe kuzoletha izingozi, kodwa akusho ukuthi ukudla kuyekwa ngenxa yokuklinywa.Esingakwenza ukwenza ubuchwepheshe buqhubeke buthuthuka, futhi ngesikhathi esifanayo, singanikeza ungqimba lomshwalense wale ngozi .

Njengengqapheli yesikhathi eside emkhakheni wokushayela ngokuzenzakalelayo, i-XEV Research Institute iye yaqaphela ukuthi izinqubomgomo kanye nemizila yobuchwepheshe yaseShayina (ubuhlakani bebhayisikili + ukuxhumanisa imoto nomgwaqo) ibeka ingidi yokuphepha ekushayeleni ukuzimela.

Uma sithatha uBeijing Yizhuang njengesibonelo, kusukela ematekisini azishayelayo asekuqaleni anesikhulu sezokuphepha kumshayeli omkhulu, kuya ezimotweni ezizimele zamanje ezingenamuntu, isikhulu sezokuphepha esihlalweni esikhulu somshayeli sikhanseliwe, futhi umshayeli osebenzisana naye ufakwe isikhulu sezokuphepha namabhuleki.Umgomo owokushayela ngokuzenzakalelayo.Ikhishwe isinyathelo ngesinyathelo.

Isizathu silula kakhulu.I-China ibilokhu igxile kubantu, futhi iminyango kahulumeni, engabalawuli bokushayela ngokuzenzakalelayo, iqaphe ngokwanele ukubeka ukuphepha komuntu siqu endaweni ebaluleke kakhulu futhi "ingalo emazinyweni" ukuze kuphephe abagibeli.Enqubweni yokugqugquzela ukuthuthukiswa kokushayela ngokuzenzakalelayo, zonke izifunda ziye zakhululeka kancane kancane futhi zathuthuka kancane kancane kusukela ezigabeni zomshayeli omkhulu onesikhulu sezokuphepha, umshayeli ohlanganyela nesikhulu sezokuphepha, futhi akukho sikhulu sezokuphepha emotweni.

Kulo mongo olawulayo, izinkampani zokushayela ezizimele kufanele zithobele imibandela yokufinyelela eqinile, futhi uhlolo lwesimo luwuhlelo lobukhulu obungaphezu kwezidingo zelayisensi yomuntu yokushayela.Isibonelo, ukuze uthole ipuleti lelayisense lezinga eliphezulu le-T4 ekuhlolweni kokushayela ngokuzenzakalelayo, imoto idinga ukuphasa u-100% wezivivinyo ezingu-102 zezindawo.

Ngokusho kwedatha yangempela yokusebenza yezindawo eziningi zemibukiso, ukuphepha kokushayela ngokuzenzakalelayo kungcono kakhulu kunokushayela komuntu.Ngokombono, ukushayela okuzimele okungenamuntu ngokuphelele kungenziwa.Ikakhulukazi, i-Yizhuang Demonstration Zone ithuthuke kakhulu kune-United States futhi inokuphepha okungaphezu kwezinga lamazwe ngamazwe.

Asazi ukuthi ukushayela ukuzimela e-United States kuphephile yini, kodwa e-China, ukushayela ukuzimela kuqinisekisiwe .

Ngemva kokucacisa izindaba zokuphepha, ake sibheke umbuzo wokuqala oyinhloko we-Bloomberg, ingabe ubuchwepheshe bokushayela ngokuzenzakalelayo bungenzeka?

3. Ubuchwepheshe buqhubekela phambili ngezinyathelo ezincane endaweni ejulile yamanzi, nakuba ikude futhi iseduze

Ukuhlola ukuthi ubuchwepheshe bokushayela ngokuzenzakalelayo buyasebenza yini, kuya ngokuthi ubuchwepheshe buyaqhubeka yini nokuba ngcono nokuthi bungaxazulula yini izinkinga endaweni yesigameko.

Inqubekelaphambili yezobuchwepheshe iqala ukubonakala ekushintsheni kwesimo sezimoto ezizishayelayo.

Kusukela ekuthengeni okukhulu kokuqala kwe-Dajielong ne-Lincoln Mkzizimoto zezinkampani ezizishayelayo ezifana ne-Waymo, kanye nokufakwa kabusha kwezimoto ngemva kokufakwa, ekubambisaneni nezinkampani zezimoto ekukhiqizeni ngobuningi bangaphambili, futhi namuhla, i-Baidu isiqalile ukukhiqiza izimoto ezizinikele ezimeni zamatekisi ezizimele.Indlela yokugcina yezimoto ezingenamuntu kanye nezimoto ezizishayelayo kancane kancane ziyavela.

Ubuchwepheshe buphinde bubonakale ngokuthi bungakwazi yini ukuxazulula izinkinga ezimweni eziningi.

Njengamanje, ukuthuthukiswa kobuchwepheshe bokushayela okuzimele kungena emanzini ajulile.

Incazelo yendawo yamanzi ajulileikakhulukazi ukuthi izinga lobuchwepheshe liqala ukubhekana nezimo eziyinkimbinkimbi.Njengemigwaqo yasemadolobheni, inkinga yakudala engavikelekile yokujika kwesokunxele, njalo njalo.Ngaphezu kwalokho, kuzoba namacala akhona ayinkimbinkimbi.

Lokhu kwasakaza ukungabi nathemba kwayo yonke imboni, kuhambisana nemvelo eyinkimbinkimbi yangaphandle, eyagcina iholele ebusika obukhulu.Umcimbi omele kakhulu wukuhamba kwabaphathi be-Waymo kanye nokushintshashintsha kokulinganisa.Kunikeza isithombe sokuthi ukushayela ngokuzihambela kungene endleleni.

Eqinisweni, umdlali oyinhloko akazange ame.

Okwamajuba nezinye izindaba eziphakanyiswe nguBloomberg esihlokweni.Empeleni,amakhoni, izilwane, nokujikela kwesokunxele kuyizigcawu ezijwayelekile zemigwaqo yasemadolobheni e-China , futhi izimoto ze-Baidu ezizishayelayo azinayo inkinga yokusingatha lezi zigcawu.

Isixazululo sika-Baidu siwukusebenzisa ama-algorithms okubona kanye ne-lidar fusion ukuze kukhonjwe okunembile lapho kubhekwa izithiyo eziphansi njengamakhoni nezilwane ezincane.Isibonelo esisebenzayo ukuthi uma ugibele imoto ezishayelayo yakwa-Baidu, abanye abezindaba bahlangabezane nendawo yemoto ezishayelayo ivika amagatsha emgwaqeni.

I-Bloomberg iphinde yasho ukuthi amamayela okuzishayela we-Google awakwazi ukukhombisa ukuthi aphephile kunabashayeli abangabantu.

Eqinisweni, umphumela wokuhlola wokugijima kwecala elilodwa awukwazi ukuchaza inkinga, kodwa ukusebenza kwesikali nemiphumela yokuhlola kwanele ukufakazela ikhono lokujwayelekile lokushayela ngokuzenzakalelayo.Njengamanje, imayela eliphelele lokuhlolwa kokushayela okuzenzakalelayo kwe-Baidu Apollo lidlule amakhilomitha ayizigidi ezingu-36, futhi ivolumu yoku-oda okuhlanganisiwe idlule isigidi esi-1.Kulesi sigaba, ukusebenza kahle kokulethwa kwe-Apollo autonomous ukushayela emigwaqweni eyinkimbinkimbi yasemadolobheni kungafinyelela ku-99.99%.

Ukuphendula ekusebenzisaneni phakathi kwamaphoyisa namaphoyisa, izimoto ze-Baidu ezingenamuntu nazo zifakwe ukushayela ngamafu kwe-5G, okungalandela umyalo wamaphoyisa omgwaqo ngokushayela okufanayo.

Ubuchwepheshe bokushayela ngokuzenzakalelayo buthuthuka njalo.

Okokugcina, inqubekelaphambili yezobuchwepheshe nayo ibonakala ekuvikelekeni okwandayo .

U-Waymo uthe ephepheni, "Umshayeli wethu we-AI angagwema izingozi ezingu-75% futhi anciphise ukulimala okubi kakhulu ngo-93%, kuyilapho ngaphansi kwezimo ezinhle, imodeli yomshayeli womuntu ingagwema kuphela i-62.5% yezingozi futhi inciphise i-84% yalimala kabi."

Tesla'sIzinga lezingozi zomshayeli we-autopilot nalo liyehla .

Ngokwemibiko yezokuphepha edalulwe nguTesla, engxenyeni yesine ka-2018, ingozi yomgwaqo yabikwa kuwo wonke amamayela ayizigidi ezingu-2.91 ngesikhathi sokushayela okunikwe amandla i-Autopilot.Ngekota yesine ka-2021, kube nesilinganiso sokushayisana okukodwa ngamamayela ayizigidi ezingu-4.31 oshayelwa ukushayela okunikwe amandla i-Autopilot.

Lokhu kubonisa ukuthi isistimu ye-Autopilot ibangcono futhi ibangcono.

Ubunkimbinkimbi bobuchwepheshe bunquma ukuthi ukushayela uzimele akukwazi ukufezwa ngobusuku obubodwa, kodwa akudingekile ukusebenzisa izehlakalo ezincane ukuze ungavumelani nethrendi enkulu futhi ucule kabi ngobumpumputhe.

Ukushayela okuzimele kwanamuhla kungase kungabi ukuhlakanipha ngokwanele, kodwa ukuthatha izinyathelo ezincane kukude.

4. Ukushayela okungenamuntu kungase kubonakale, futhi izinhlansi ziyogcina zivutha umlilo emathafeni

Ekugcineni, impikiswano ye-athikili ye-Bloomberg yokuthi ngemva kokushiswa kwezigidigidi ezingu-100 izohamba kancane, futhi lokho kushayela okuzimele kuzothatha amashumi eminyaka.

Ubuchwepheshe buxazulula izinkinga ukusuka ku-0 kuye ku-1.Amabhizinisi axazulula izinkinga kusuka koku-1 kuye kweziyi-10 kuye kweziyi-100.Ukuhweba kungaqondwa futhi njengenhlansi.

Sibonile ukuthi nakuba abadlali abahamba phambili behlala bephindaphinda ezobuchwepheshe babo, baphinde bahlole imisebenzi yezohwebo .

Njengamanje, indawo ebaluleke kakhulu yokufikela yokushayela okungenamuntu i-Robotaxi.Ngaphandle kokukhipha amaphoyisa ezokuphepha nokonga izindleko zabashayeli abangabantu, izinkampani ezizishayelayo nazo zehlisa izindleko zezimoto.

I-Baidu Apollo, ehamba phambili, ilokhu yehlisa ngokuqhubekayo izindleko zezimoto ezingenamuntu kwaze kwaba yilapho ikhipha imoto ebiza kancane engenamuntu i-RT6 kulo nyaka, kanti izindleko zehlile zisuka ku-480,000 yuan esizukulwaneni esidlule zafinyelela ku-250,000 yuan manje.

Umgomo uwukungena emakethe yezokuvakasha, ukuguqula imodeli yebhizinisi yamatekisi kanye nokudunyiswa kwezimoto ku-inthanethi.

Eqinisweni, amatekisi kanye nezinsizakalo ze-inthanethi zokuthutha izimoto zisebenzela abasebenzisi be-C ekugcineni, futhi zisekela abashayeli, izinkampani zamatekisi kanye nezinkundla ngakolunye uhlangothi, okuqinisekisiwe njengemodeli yebhizinisi esebenzayo.Ngokombono wokuncintisana kwebhizinisi, lapho izindleko ze-Robotaxi, ezingadingi abashayeli, ziphansi ngokwanele, ziphephile ngokwanele, futhi isikali sikhulu ngokwanele, umphumela wayo wokushayela emakethe unamandla kunalowo wamatekisi kanye ne-intanethi ye-car-hailing.

UWaymo naye wenza okufanayo.Ekupheleni kuka-2021, ifinyelele ukubambisana neJi Krypton, ezokhiqiza imikhumbi engashayeli ukuhlinzeka ngezimoto ezikhethekile.

Izindlela zokuthengisa ezengeziwe ziyavela, futhi abanye abadlali abahamba phambili babambisana nezinkampani zezimoto .

Sithatha i-Baidu njengesibonelo, imikhiqizo yayo ye-AVP yokupaka ikhiqizwe ngobuningi futhi yalethwa ku-WM Motor W6, Great Wall.Izinhlobo zokuphepha ze-Haval, i-GAC Egypt, kanye nemikhiqizo ye-Pilot Assisted Driving ANP zilethwe kwa-WM Motor ekupheleni kukaJuni kulo nyaka.

Kusukela ngekota yokuqala yalo nyaka, inani eliphelele le-Baidu Apollo elithengisiwe selidlule ama-yuan ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-10, futhi u-Baidu udalule ukuthi lokhu kukhula kubangelwa ikakhulukazi ukuthengiswa kwezinkampani ezinkulu zezimoto.

Ukunciphisa izindleko, ukungena esigabeni sokusebenza kwezentengiselwano, noma ukunciphisa ubukhulu kanye nokubambisana nezinkampani zezimoto, lezi izisekelo zokushayela okungenamuntu.

Ngokombono, noma ubani onganciphisa izindleko ngokushesha angaletha i-Robotaxi emakethe.Uma sibheka ekuhlolweni kwabadlali abaphambili abafana no-Baidu Apollo, lokhu kunethuba elithile lokuthengisa.

E-China, izinkampani zobuchwepheshe azidlali umbukiso womuntu oyedwa kuthrekhi engashayeli, futhi nezinqubomgomo nazo ziziphelezela ngokugcwele.

Izindawo zokuhlola ukushayela okuzenzakalelayo emadolobheni asezingeni lokuqala njengeBeijing, Shanghai neGuangzhou seziqalile ukusebenza.

Amadolobha amaphakathi nezwe anjengeChongqing, Wuhan, neHebei nawo asabalalisa izindawo zokuhlola ukushayela ezizimele.Ngenxa yokuthi asewindini lokuncintisana kwezimboni, lawa madolobha amaphakathi nezwe awekho ngaphansi kwamadolobha asezingeni lokuqala ngokwamandla enqubomgomo kanye nokusungula izinto ezintsha.

Inqubomgomo iphinde yathatha isinyathelo esibalulekile, esifana nomthetho we-Shenzhen we-L3, njll., obeka isibopho sezingozi zomgwaqo emazingeni ahlukene.

Ukuqwashisa kwabasebenzisi nokwamukelwa kokushayela ngokuzenzakalelayo kuyanda.Ngokusekelwe kulokhu, ukwamukelwa kokushayela okusizwayo kuyakhula, futhi izinkampani zezimoto zaseShayina nazo zinikeza abasebenzisi imisebenzi yokushayela okusizwa umshayeli wasemadolobheni.

Konke lokhu okungenhla kuyasiza ekwandiseni ukushayela okungenamuntu.

Kusukela uMnyango Wezokuvikela wase-US wethula uhlelo lwe-ALV land automatic cruise ngo-1983, futhi kusukela lapho, i-Google, i-Baidu, i-Cruise, i-Uber, i-Tesla, njll ijoyine ithrekhi.Namuhla, nakuba izimoto ezingenabantu zingakadumi kakhulu, ukushayela ukuzimela kusendleleni.Isinyathelo ngesinyathelo sibheke ekuthuthukisweni kokugcina kokushayela okungenamuntu.

Endleleni, inhloko-dolobha eyaziwayo ihlangene lapha.

Okwamanje, kwanele ukuthi kunezinkampani zezentengiselwano ezizimisele ukuzama nabatshalizimali abasekelayo endleleni.

Isevisi esebenza kahle iyindlela yokuhamba komuntu, futhi uma ihluleka, ngokwemvelo izoyeka.Ukuhlehla, noma yikuphi ukuziphendukela kwesintu kwezobuchwepheshe kudinga amaphayona azamile.Manje ezinye izinkampani zezohwebo zokushayela ezizimele zizimisele ukusebenzisa ubuchwepheshe ukushintsha umhlaba, esingakwenza ukunikeza isikhathi esithe xaxa.

Kungenzeka ukuthi uyabuza, kuzothatha isikhathi esingakanani ukuthi ukushayela okuzenzakalelayo kufike?

Asikwazi ukunikeza iphuzu eliqondile ngesikhathi.

Nokho, kukhona imibiko etholakalayo ukuze isetshenziswe.

NgoJuni kulo nyaka, i-KPMG ikhiphe umbiko othi “2021 Global Auto Industry Executive Survey”, okhombisa ukuthi u-64% wabaphathi bakholelwa ukuthi izimoto ezizishayelayo ezizishayelayo nezidilivayo zizothengiswa emadolobheni amakhulu aseShayina ngo-2030.

Ngokukhethekile, ngo-2025, ukushayela okuzihambela okusezingeni eliphezulu kuzothengiswa ngezimo ezithile, futhi ukuthengiswa kwezimoto ezifakwe imisebenzi yokushayela ekhululekile ngokwengxenye noma enemibandela kuzoba ngaphezu kuka-50% yenani eliphelele lezimoto ezithengisiwe;ngo-2030, ukushayela okuzihambelayo okusezingeni eliphezulu kuzoba seKusetshenziswa kakhulu emigwaqweni emikhulu nangokwezinga elikhulu kweminye imigwaqo yasemadolobheni;ngo-2035, ukushayela okuzihambela okusezingeni eliphezulu kuzosetshenziswa kabanzi ezindaweni eziningi zaseShayina.

Ngokuvamile, ukuthuthukiswa kokushayela okungenamuntu akulona ithemba njengaku-athikili ye-Bloomberg.Sizimisele kakhulu ukukholelwa ukuthi izinhlansi ziyogcina ziqale umlilo emathafeni, futhi ubuchwepheshe buzogcina bushintshe umhlaba .

Umthombo: First Electric Network


Isikhathi sokuthumela: Oct-17-2022